CURRENT ECONOMIC TRENDS

Data source: Statistical Committee of the Republic of Armenia and Central Bank of Armenia
Calculations and data processing: Economic Development and Research Center (EDRC)
Data were updated on October 10, 2019.

1Output growth data are presented for economic sectors. 
2Including fishing.
3Includes alcoholic beverages and tobacco.
4Money transfers of individuals by banking system of RA.

Main indicators of current economic trends, in % to the same period of previous year
2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2019 2020 2021 2022 2023 2024 2025
  Yearly January-September1 
Indicator of economic activity 7.8 -7.5 5.8 14.2 9.8 8.3 7.1 -6.8 4.4 14.1 9.2 10.0
GDP real growth 7.6 -7.2 5.8 12.6 8.3 5.9 7.7 -6.4 3.3 12.5 9.3 6.8
    Agriculturial growth2 -5.8 -3.7 -0.8 -2.8 -0.4 1.5 -5.5 -1.3 -1.6 -3.1 0.2 1.7
    Industrial growth 12.0 -1.4 2.4 6.9 -3.0 3.6 11.5 -2.6 1.7 3.0 -0.5 4.2
         in which Manufacturing 9.5 -4.0 2.6 12.5 -2.5 4.4 6.5 -5.9 -3.2 14.6 -2.6 8.9
                       Mining 37.1 11.2 -0.2 -1.3 -7.2 -8.3 33.9 16.9 0.5 -4.6 -4.2 -8.1
                       Energency 0.5 -1.2 4.1 1.6 -0.3 15.5 1.7 -0.3 0.8 1.6 -1.5 10.8
                       Water supply 6.2 -22.6 8.4 2.4 6.6 4.8 8.2 -25.2 9.8 2.2 5.9 5.4
    Construction growth 6.5 -5.9 3.1 18.6 15.6 14.1 6.7 -18.5 2.2 20.6 18.0 16.9
    Trade growth 9.0 -13.2 7.4 17.6 27.7 11.4 8.1 -11.7 7.0 15.2 25.5 13.5
    Service growth (excluding trade) 10.0 -7.4 7.6 17.9 9.3 7.4 8.8 -10.0 9.5 18.3 13.5 6.5
External trade turnover growth (in USD) 10.7 -13.1 18.0 69.4 50.2 41.7
    Export 9.7 -4.2 18.9 79.7 57.8 53.6
    Import
11.1 -17.4 17.5 63.7 45.4 33.7
    Net export (balance of goods), % in GDP  -21.2 -16.0 -16.9 -17.2 -17.4 -15.1
Fiscal indicators 
    State budjet revenues growth 16.7 -0.3 7.9 22.5 14.3 9.3
         in which taxes and duties 16.4 -5.4 14.6 21.4 15.4 7.6
    State budget expenditures growth 12.6 16.3 5.8 11.9 13.6 16.0
    State budjet deficit, % in GDP -1.0 -5.4 -4.6 -2.1 -2.0 -3.7
    Public debt, % in GDP 53.7 67.4 63.4 49.2 50.5 50.0
Consumer price index (end of period) 0.7 3.7 7.7 8.3 -0.6 1.5 -2.1 -1.4 3.6 5.7 -2.3 -1.1 1.1
         in which Food products3 0.2 5.5 12.5 9.9 -3.5 2.2 -5.5 -4.1 4.3 4.9 -6.4 -3.4 0.0
                       Non food products 1.4 3.4 8.0 7.1 0.1 -1.8 0.6 -0.3 6.0 6.1 -0.9 -2.7 0.0
                       Services 1.1 1.6 1.9 7.2 3.0 2.5 0.9 1.3 1.2 6.4 2.4 3.1 3.3
Consumer price index (period average) 1.4 1.2 7.2 8.6 2.0 0.3 1.6 0.9 6.7 8.6 2.8 0.0 3.3
Exchange rate devaluation (end of period)
    to USD -0.8 8.9 -8.1 -18.0 2.9 -2.0 -1.4 2.6 -0.9 -16.2 -3.0 -1.6 -1.2
    to EUR -3.0 19.3 -15.4 -22.6 6.6 -7.6 -7.1 10.0 -1.8 -29.5 5.4 3.8 3.7
    to RUR 11.5 -9.7 -8.5 -12.9 -19.5 -17.6 0.1 -15.0 6.7 13.7 -46.9 3.7 11.3
Financial market interests rates
    Refinancing rate (repo interest rate) of CBA 5.5 5.3 7.8 10.8 9.3 7.0 5.5 4.3 7.3 10.0 9.8 7.5 6.8
    Government bonds (medium term) 6.5 7.7 9.7 11.9 10.9 9.9 7.2 6.4 9.4 11.1 10.5 9.9 9.3
    Deposit rate (>1 year, physical entities, in drams) 9.5 9.3 9.5 9.8 9.7 9.3 9.6 9.4 9.6 9.4 9.7 9.5 9.5
    Mortgage loans (physical entities, in drams) 10.8 10.4 10.7 11.7 12.5 12.7 10.8 10.8 10.7 11.7 12.6 12.5 12.6
    Lending rate, in drams (>1 year, legal entities) 10.5 10.5 10.7 12.9 12.1 13.2 12.1 11.8 10.8 12.9 12.3 13.0 13.3
    Lending rate, in dollars (>1 year, legal entities) 8.1 7.7 7.7 7.8 8.6 8.6 7.8 8.0 8.0 7.2 8.7 8.3 8.4
Monetary indicators
    Broad money growth 11.2 9.0 13.1 16.1 17.4 13.7 9.7 11.9 11.5 12.3 20.3 12.3 16.1
      Governence crediting growth (by banks) -24.6 118.2 31.5 26.0 17.4 16.6 -37.3 88.0 52.3 25.6 15.0 24.5 -0.2
      Economy crediting growth (by banks) 18.5 14.3 -3.9 4.5 18.4 26.4 15.2 18.2 -3.1 4.2 16.0 20.9 26.5
      Deposit growth (within banks) 12.4 5.0 16.7 18.1 17.8 14.7 11.4 10.6 11.3 14.2 21.4 12.7 16.3
         in which FX deposit growth -2.1 -0.4 13.7 21.0 9.4 3.4 1.3 -3.4 11.9 15.1 15.7 3.9 3.5
       Currency growth (outside banks) 5.3 29.1 -1.9 6.2 15.2 7.8 1.4 18.4 12.2 3.4 14.3 9.9 15.4
    Reserve Money (without PIU accounts), bln drams 1,322.2 1,563.7 1,830.7 1,922.1 1,845.6 2,099.9 1,131 1,273 1,712 1,779 1,738 1,748 2,213
Money transfers  growth4
    USD 9.7 -6.0 14.5 145.9 9.8 2.5 9.6 -8.8 20.2 125.0 23.3 -7.0 7.3
    AMD 9.0 -4.0 17.3 107.1 2.0 2.5 9.3 -8.2 26.5 92.1 10.2 -6.1 6.0
 Energy production growth